Arizona helped deliver the election to Donald Trump in 2016. However, over the past four years, Republicans have seen a 148,000 voter enrollment advantage trimmed to under 100,000, resulting in historic gains for Democrats in the State Legislature and the election of Democratic Senator Kyrsten Sinema in 2018. In Maricopa County, Arizona’s largest county, the Democratic candidates for County Attorney and Sheriff hold leads against their Republican opponents.
New polling from The Justice Collaborative Institute shows that Arizona, a historically conservative state, could vote blue up and down the ballot next week. Our polling shows strong leads for Presidential candidate Joe Biden and Senate candidate Mark Kelly in Arizona ahead of Tuesday’s election. Among the registered voters surveyed, former Vice President Biden is leading President Donald Trump 49% to 43% across the state with 5% of respondents undecided. Democratic challenger Mark Kelly is leading current Senator Martha McSally 50% to 40%, with 10% of respondents undecided.